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What the 2040 Climate Target Requires

The amended climate law outlines several core provisions that will shape the EU’s decarbonization strategy over the coming decades.

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90% emissions reduction target

Under the amended climate law, the EU must reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% by 2040 compared with 1990 levels. The milestone bridges the gap between the bloc’s 2030 emissions target and its 2050 climate-neutrality goal, effectively accelerating the timeline for deep decarbonization across the European economy.

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Strong domestic reductions

At least 85% of emissions reductions must take place within the European Union, requiring significant decarbonization across sectors such as industry, energy, transport, and buildings. This focus on domestic action ensures that most emissions cuts come from structural changes within the EU economy rather than relying heavily on international carbon credits.

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Limited use of international carbon credits

From 2036 onward, EU countries may use international carbon credits to meet part of the target. This mechanism is intended as a flexibility tool rather than a primary compliance pathway.

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5% cap on carbon credits

International credits can cover not more than 5% of the EU’s 1990 emissions baseline. This cap ensures that the bulk of effort remains focused on real emissions reductions within the EU economy.

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Paris Agreement alignment

Any carbon credits used must originate from verified emissions-reduction projects in partner countries and comply with rules under the Paris Agreement. These safeguards are designed to maintain environmental integrity, prevent double counting of emissions reductions, and support credible international climate cooperation.

Together, these provisions maintain a strong focus on domestic emissions reduction while allowing limited flexibility for countries and sectors facing higher transition costs.

Why Carbon Removals Are Becoming Part of EU Climate Policy

The amended EU climate law also highlights the growing role of carbon removals in addressing emissions that are difficult to eliminate entirely. While the EU’s primary focus remains on reducing greenhouse gas emissions across sectors, carbon removals are increasingly viewed as a complementary tool for managing residual emissions. Carbon removals involve capturing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and storing it in long-term reservoirs, helping balance emissions from sectors where full decarbonization remains challenging, such as certain industrial processes, aviation, and agriculture. The policy framework references several carbon removal approaches, including:

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Technological solutions, such as carbon capture and direct air capture combined with permanent geological storage

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Nature-based approaches, including forest restoration, soil carbon enhancement, and ecosystem management

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Long-term storage systems designed to prevent captured carbon from re-entering the atmosphere

EU policymakers emphasize that carbon removals are intended to support emissions reduction efforts rather than replace them, ensuring that deep cuts in fossil-fuel use remain the central pillar of the bloc’s climate strategy.

EU Carbon Market Expansion Gets a New Timeline

The agreement also introduces adjustments to the timeline for expanding the EU’s carbon pricing system. The second emissions trading system (ETS2), which will cover additional sectors such as road transport and buildings, will now become fully operational in 2028 instead of 2027. This delay is intended to give governments and industries additional time to prepare for the policy changes and implement the regulatory and operational frameworks required for compliance. While the adjustment slightly extends the implementation timeline, the expansion of carbon pricing across additional sectors remains a central component of the EU’s broader decarbonization strategy.

How the 2040 Climate Target Will Be Implemented

The adoption of the amended climate law marks the final step in establishing the EU’s 2040 climate target at the legislative level. Once published in the Official Journal of the European Union, the regulation will enter into force after 20 days and will apply directly across all EU member states. This gives the framework immediate legal relevance for national policy design and corporate compliance planning. The European Commission will now prepare additional legislative proposals to support implementation of the new target, including sector-specific measures, financing tools, and updates to the EU’s broader climate action plan and energy policies. The framework also requires a formal review of the EU’s climate change policy architecture every two years, during which the Commission will assess scientific developments, technological progress, economic competitiveness, energy prices, and the evolving role of carbon removals and international carbon credits. Based on these reviews, additional policy measures or adjustments may be proposed.

Implications for Businesses and Global Value Chains

The EU’s 2040 climate target will accelerate the pace of decarbonization across industries and introduce new expectations for companies operating within or trading with the European Union. This applies not only to EU-based firms but also to suppliers and partners in other regions that serve European value chains. As the regulatory framework evolves, businesses may increasingly need to:

  1. Strengthen greenhouse gas measurement, reporting, and verification systems
  1. Monitor evolving climate regulations and sectoral transition pathways
  1. Develop credible transition strategies aligned with long-term net-zero trajectories
  1. Navigate growing complexities around carbon markets, carbon removals, and climate-related financial disclosures

Organizations that move early to align with the EU’s 2040 climate target may be better positioned to maintain market access, attract sustainable financing, and build resilience as climate regulations continue to tighten.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Greenhouse gas emissions can be reduced by switching to renewable energy, improving energy efficiency, adopting clean transportation, protecting forests and ecosystems, and using technologies like carbon capture in hard-to-decarbonize industries.

Carbon is removed from the atmosphere by forests, soils, and oceans, as well as technologies like direct air capture and carbon storage.

Carbon credits are calculated based on the amount of greenhouse gas emissions reduced or removed, where one carbon credit equals one tonne of CO₂ (or equivalent) avoided or captured.

Carbon credits work by allowing companies to offset their emissions by purchasing credits from projects that reduce or remove carbon, where one credit equals one tonne of CO₂ reduced or removed.

Climate change is causing rising temperatures, extreme weather events, sea level rise, and disruptions to ecosystems, food systems, and water resources worldwide.